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for italy's election. we'll get a check on europe's growth process spengts for the eu forecast. we'll head live to brussels for a live press conference. in other news, boeing is set to unveil a plan to help its troubled dreamliner to take flight today. and we're rolling out the red carpet. we'll head to tinsel town to the biggest night in hollywood. find out which films are tipped to win big at this year's oscars. fears are mounting that an inconclusive election this weekend could undermine the euro and set back markets in italy. hans, as we edge closer to that event, polls open sunday and they close on monday. we've seen the two-day sell off. is it related to the outcome here? >> well, i think the italian election has had an impact on market performance for the past few weeks. i guess that markets became much more cautious in investing in the debt market in italy and maybe as well as the debt market in spain, the cause of the potential inflation risk here. now, if we are getting an election result which markets may like, then the very clear majority left and under those circumstances, you
-claude junker says he expects the eu to real a deep on the budget today. juncker said the last of an agreement would be disastrous for the region. julia is in brussels. julia, are we going to get a budget? mr. cameron has said, look, i don't want it frozen, i want it cut. so what's going to happen? >> well, we're moving in the direction of cuts. i think the positive news is that if you compare what we were talking about in november, we've cut around 80 billion euros from the 1 trillion euro target that they were looking at back in november. so we are moving in the right direction, but with regard to the decision today, i think if you've been listening to angela merkel to david cameron himself and francois hollande this week, the indication is that perhaps we shouldn't be as optimistic as jean-claude juncker would have us believe, but someone has to fly the flag for europe and we like our posturing in europe. overall, what rewe looking at? germany, the uk, the nordic european countries are fighting for cuts, real term cuts in this whereas italy and france would rather have it held steady. even
partnership on trade. she'd he wanted to open a new negotiation, a transatlantic partnership with the e.u. is it your feeling that people are going to look at that and say, okay, at least there's a little part of the business agenda he's pursuing by trying to get down trade barriers? >> one of the criticisms is there had been no new free trade initiatives in his first administration. you know, they acted on some that were previously proposed. yeah, obviously that would be something that -- that businesses would -- certainly want to sell to the world, this for sure. that -- >> larry kudlow was on with us last night and said we don't need a new agreement with the e.u. we've already got agreements with most of the countries involved. so we'll see how much value the marketplace puts on that. >> okay. all right. john harwood. becky's got the next story coming up. just -- a classic. it's -- you know, i got to talk to but this. i really -- let's lets beck dee it. do you have a new view on cayman islands? i know bachus says that mr. lew paid his taxes that he was supposed to pay. this was fully w
north korea about its nuclear weapon program. he said there will be talks with the e.u. about reaching a transatlantic trade agreement. and marco rubio gave the republican response and criticized obama's programs and proposals as more unnecessary deficit spending. joining us for more, head of european g-10 fx bank of america merrill lynch. welcome. >> good morning. >> want to start talking about europe, about cypress where he got back from. first the u.s. dollar, what's happening with the potential fiscal talks. how concerned are you, what does it moon for trading the currency? >> the u.s. dollar has weakened so far this year because of the overall market risk move that we have seen. positive of surprises in the u.s. at the global level. and looking forward, we were bullish on the u.s. dollar because we see a market correction as the u.s. tightens fiscal policy substantially this year. >> how severe of a correction might that -- >> we believe for the rest of the year the euro/dollar will be closer to 1.30 or below, 1.35. >> really? >> also last week we believe in the way there's a ceil
of the bulge names in part because of the eu risk is higher in those. how serious do you take a day like today on that front? >> well, our biggest concern really is the continued unstable nature of greece. i think spain and italy will be fine as long as greece doesn't create a chain reaction, which i think it will. and i'm still very concerned about what is going on there. but as you guys pointed out, you know, you came into early 10, early 11, early 12 and felt good, trends were good and the eu kind of put the kibosh on ceo confidence and capital markets activity. i'm concerned about that. >> you seem less worried. >> we're more worried about the u.s. economy. i think what we're seeing now in the marketplace makes sense. we had the megabanks lead the rally late last year. we recently have switched to the regional banks outperforming the megabanks and now we're getting that normal consolidation period which is to be expected. look at the ten-year treasury yield, that's what we say. if above ten for first quarter -- above 2% for first quarter, then earnings estimates will probably go higher. wh
responding to the eu budget meeting which is reportedly winding up right now. there has been a lot of auction. adding 20% candidate as i can see here. the stoxx 600 is adding about 0.5% all told. take a look at this, bwin.com, there's talks about new jersey governor chris christie opening up online gaming. it leaves the possibility out there for atlantic city casinos to offer games like poker online. so bwin has a join venture with boyd gaming which is licensed in new jersey. and the view among analysts is that other states, potentially federal legislation could follow suit. this is a small step in the direction of perhaps allowing more and more of the u.s. market to gamble online, like you can already with this one. up 19%. watch shares generally speaking in the gaming session today because you can expect there will probably be some similar moves. just the final word, we saw the yen strengthening avenue the yen appeared to talk down some of its easing moves. the yen was still 1% stronger. the nikkei ended the day 12-day winning streak with one of its longest. back over to you. >> thank you,
-- >> the u.s./eu free trade agreement. >> i disagree with that. >> they have big deficiencies, and actually a bulwark on standard setting -- >> you disagree with the idea of trade -- >> no i definitely think trade boosts growth and want to see more net exports. what i have never seen is a connection between free trade agreements and an increase in our gdp or even our positive trade balance. more often than not -- >> when you look at nafta, haven't they finally concluded that there were more jobs created here because we were selling more? >> no, in fact, nafta is a -- nafta is a good example -- >> trade balance with mexico went negative. i'm saying after nafta our trade deficit with mexico went from positive to negative. >> nothing happens in a vacuum. >> it's a -- >> but -- >> current -- >> intellectually -- >> don't you know that free trade -- >> absolutely. i'm all for free trade. the nafta we were just talking about, it was 1200 pages. it actually doesn't take that long to write a free trade agreement. the nafta and many others -- >> that was shorter than the health care reform bill? >>
. >> you're invited over here. >> we have scotland and then we will have the eu probably about 16 or 17 after the next -- >> i've invited you to be the 51st state over here. >> that's all you will be over here. >> you try to tax us without representation, we'll try to -- >> it's a good number. >> martin b what do you think about the referendum? >> i got myself into trouble by saying that it increases uncertainty. it's what i called the fifth grace one and so there's more uncertainty now. from a political point of view, there's -- >> because of the referendum? right. the prime minister made the right decision. the uk sort of right wing party, it liked the tea party, i guess, in some respects has gained 16% of the vote according to the polls. take more from the trres or from labor. so i think the prime minister was concerned about that. having a referendum laid it out. we did some polling, online polling after the speech. they thought the referendum was right. content of the speech was good, they would vote for the coming out of. there's a lot of work to be done until we get to the refere
some of the things necessary to live up to their commitment to the eu. does this throw a wrench into the works? >> i think we should be thinking about it. the somewhat untold story is that -- >> you heard of this guy before this? >> absolutely. >> was he funny. >> he's funny. it would be a little bit like -- >> jackie mason? >> no -- >> seinfeld. >> robin williams or somebody. he was big in the '80s this guy. he also has been a big part of the political satire, all the rest of it. very, very bright guy. but you know, it's almost an a listic party. it's july real just truly a protest vote. to my knowledge it's gotten over 25% of the vote, the latest thing i've seen. monti is the best of the best. i honestly believe that is one of the, you know, on democracies it's easier to give stuff away. >> two years ago he had just started and i asked why are these pictures of monti in a beach chair. and they all said send monti to the beach. that was two years ago. >> yeah, he's only been in there a group -- grillo is moving. five-star movement is only three years old. it's a very organized,
job opportunities for -- and the eu commission is already discussing this i think this is something that has to be added, and that, i hope, will also increase the understanding of the population of these countries. >> what do you think about what the bank of japan is doing right now with its policies, really pressuring the yen, that adds pressure, in turn, to the euro, which has pushed higher, versus the yen on these things, the u.s. watches that very closely. what do you think of their policy? >> yes, of course, we do watch it. but i think it's much overblown to speak of the currency war, something like that. what we observe is that the japanese central bank, the japanese government, wants to avoid the deflationary development, which i think makes a lot of sense. so i'm not too much concerned about that. >> so it's not a beggar thy neighbor policy at this point with the central banks around the globe? >> no. if it really leads to higher growth, that is the intention to have, then it's not beggar thy neighbor, then it's something that is helpful for all of us. and with regard to the
Search Results 0 to 9 of about 10